Author: NextLevel
Subject: Probability of beating a +100 rating
Posted: 06/18/2014 at 4:27pm
Edited by NextLevel - 45 minutes ago at 4:32pm
Subject: Probability of beating a +100 rating
Posted: 06/18/2014 at 4:27pm
 mhnh007 wrote:If the guy has no prior rating, what rating would they give him then? Would it be the average of the lowest win and highest loss (2261+2131)/2=2176? |
Yes.
Baal,
The 697 came from 4 years ago when the guy was probably still a learning junior - he travelled out of the US for a few years and came back recently and played this event. Other examples are less stark because the initial rating is rarely so low, but they exist - there was a guy from Trinidad (I think) who recently played at WestChester and won virtually every even from the U2050 up to the U2400 because he was rated 2021 or so when he last played in the US which was a couple years back.
Larrytt had an extensive blog post on him as he plays/played at MDTTC.
Edited by NextLevel - 45 minutes ago at 4:32pm